Much like it is with Dave’s trust in the ability of searchers to conduct proper searches, Dave also doesn’t question the ability of canines to find scent. I’m personally not an expert on animal behavior, but as I was told by a biochemist, nothing in biology is 100%. Dogs aren’t machines, which inevitably means they must have some sort of rate of error, some better and worse days, while scent can be affected by environmental conditions.

Brown, Diana (September 26, 2017). "Hundreds Have Vanished from National Parks. Is Bigfoot to Blame?". HowStuffWorks. Archived from the original on November 30, 2018 . Retrieved November 29, 2018. As of 2021, there are two documentary films about the Missing 411 phenomenon: The Lost Kids and The vanishing. Since the area was established in 1936, there have been more than 563 reported cases of people vanishing without a trace. The most famous case is that of Harold Holt, an Australian prime minister who disappeared while swimming at Lake Mead in 1967. Paulides, David. "Blog #188". NAbigfootsearch.com. Archived from the original on February 9, 2017 . Retrieved February 8, 2017.In all likelihood, the stories of feral people living in national parks are nothing more than urban legends. I know I said I won’t to go into detail on individual cases, but it would be difficult to comment on the coincidences that Paulides points out without pointing them out. The main two cases involving multiple odd coincidences are the disappearance of Dennis Martin and the death of Elisa Lam. Brandabur, Michelle (June 4, 2021). " 'I am not afraid of the park. I am terrified': TikTokers are freaking out over just how many people are disappearing in national forests". The Daily Dot. Archived from the original on July 5, 2021 . Retrieved July 5, 2021.

Paulides, David (2011). Missing 411 Western United States and Canada. North Charleston, South Carolina: CreateSpace. pp.ix–x. ISBN 978-1466216297. Subjects found deceased having no identifiable cause of death, or an unexplained fever if found alive This article looks at Missing 411 books and why they’re so expensive. Keep reading to find out where you can get them for a reasonable price. Who Wrote the Missing 411 Books? And that’s just the first step. It’s quite possible that the population of people who visit national parks differs significantly from the whole population of the given states or countries under normal circumstances. The comparison actually needs to be made between the Missing 411 sample and what’s normal for national park visitors in general, as well as it needs to be made between the Missing 411 sample and a control sample of non-Missing 411 missing people, ideally controlled by location (park vs. rural vs. urban).If you think that this whole scenario is crazy, then you haven’t watched enough Star Trek. There are multiple instances of Starfleet observing pre-warp civilizations (which it is not allowed to interfere with due to the Prime Directive) from a secret base cloaked as part of a mountain. If we can already think of that, and undoubtedly would do it ourselves given the opportunity, it’s not crazy. What’s weird is that this is not happening in all of the parks equally, suggesting that a thorough comparison should be made.

Medical emergency would then prevent you from wandering away very far, unless it was a psychotic break, but regardless, many of the missing were in excellent physical and mental health. Which leaves being jumped by someone or something as the most likely explanation. Especially considering that feeding grounds are a great place where to lie in wait for prey, and perhaps the best way to narrow down where people will be found in a big forest, and roughly when. This can be a standalone subset of cases. Beyond the basic scientific considerations, it’s important to understand that we may be doing research here against an intelligent adversary, which complicates things. It may even be an intelligence-type operation, specifically, which means that there could be an effort to avoid statistical detection or to obscure the true motivation by introducing false leads and using all kinds of misdirection, if not outright destruction of evidence, intimidation, or assassination. This means that nothing should be taken at face value and that it may be necessary to keep our cards close to the chest — not advertising our best leads or next moves, while trying to set up traps for the adversary. At the same time, however, getting as many people to know and think about this is key, as it directly defeats the main objectives of the hypothetical adversary (remaining hidden and keeping potential targets unaware). These are all angles that can and should be investigated, since precise targeting, luring, and covert disappearing of people aren’t trivial tasks. There’s bound to be some sort of infrastructure for this, especially since it is a global phenomenon and since having the staff of the establishment where you want to disappear someone on your side or having infiltrated the school which your potential targets attend would make everything much easier. This would also explain why it happens in only some cities — you can’t simply improvise it anywhere without having the infrastructure. The stasis option might sound the most sci-fi, but there are multiple Missing 411 cases in which the body was found in a surprisingly pristine condition for how long it was supposedly dead. Better yet, there are a few cases in which the body was reported to be completely frozen, in a non-freezing environment. Which is scientifically speaking the most basic method through which to do stasis, especially if you don’t care about the subject dying. The mysterious part is how the bodies got to where they were found.However, if you are running some sort of medical experiment, the three most logical things to do are to get a DNA sample (ideally reproductive cells), to perform a neurological exam, and to get a stool sample, which includes the gut bacteria. Anything to do with poop may be inherently silly, but as recent advances in medical science show, gut microbiome is essential for our physical health and it interacts with our brain, affecting our mood. Not surprisingly at all, these types of things are reported by alien abductees. Of course, that says nothing about who these “aliens” are, only that they’re organized. The available data that connects the water-related cases together (mainly the ones of students being found dead in water in some college cities) makes them somehow more inexplicable than the cases of people who got lost in a forest and were never found (cases in which all data is missing).